Team Wellington vs Magenta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.8%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.7%
4-0
11%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
15.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.2%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
4-4
<0%
0
9.3%
2.9%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Team Wellington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
TEA
4 - 0
HEK
88%
9%
3%
|
67 | 33 | 34 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2016 |
LOS
1 - 2
TEA
6%
13%
81%
|
67 | 28 | 39 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
TEA
2 - 0
SUV
90%
8%
2%
|
67 | 29 | 38 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
AUC
2 - 4
TEA
54%
22%
24%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
HAW
1 - 3
TEA
41%
23%
35%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Magenta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
NAD
0 - 3
MAG
38%
25%
37%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2016 |
MAG
4 - 2
TEF
44%
21%
36%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +2 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
KIW
0 - 2
MAG
40%
22%
38%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
WET
1 - 3
MAG
52%
21%
28%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +3 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
MAG
12 - 2
USC
85%
11%
4%
|
46 | 23 | 23 | -17 |