AFC Challenge Cup Semi-finals

Tajikistan vs Myanmar analysis

Tajikistan Myanmar
55 ELO 51
6.5% Tilt -4%
2266º General ELO ranking 7704º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
51.9%
Tajikistan
22.1%
Draw
25.9%
Myanmar

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
Tajikistan
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
25.9%
Win probability
Myanmar
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Tajikistan
+13%
-47%
Myanmar

ELO progression

Tajikistan
Myanmar
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tajikistan
Tajikistan
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Feb. 2010
TKM
Turkmenistan
2 - 0
Tajikistan
TJK
58%
21%
21%
56 60 4 0
20 Feb. 2010
TJK
Tajikistan
3 - 0
Myanmar
MMR
48%
23%
29%
55 54 1 +1
18 Feb. 2010
LKA
Sri Lanka
1 - 3
Tajikistan
TJK
27%
25%
48%
54 41 13 +1
16 Feb. 2010
TJK
Tajikistan
1 - 2
Bangladesh
BGD
73%
17%
10%
55 42 13 -1
02 Jan. 2010
YEM
Yemen
0 - 1
Tajikistan
TJK
50%
24%
26%
55 55 0 0

Matches

Myanmar
Myanmar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Feb. 2010
PRK
Korea DPR
5 - 0
Myanmar
MMR
71%
19%
10%
52 76 24 0
20 Feb. 2010
TJK
Tajikistan
3 - 0
Myanmar
MMR
48%
23%
29%
54 55 1 -2
18 Feb. 2010
BGD
Bangladesh
1 - 2
Myanmar
MMR
24%
23%
53%
54 43 11 0
16 Feb. 2010
MMR
Myanmar
4 - 0
Sri Lanka
LKA
64%
19%
16%
53 42 11 +1
30 Apr. 2009
MMR
Myanmar
1 - 0
Camboya
KHM
72%
16%
12%
53 32 21 0