Tajikistan vs Kyrgyzstan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
17%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tajikistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
AUS
7 - 0
TJK
74%
18%
8%
|
55 | 86 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
TJK
5 - 0
BGD
73%
18%
9%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
JOR
3 - 0
TJK
63%
23%
14%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
KGZ
2 - 2
TJK
19%
21%
60%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
TJK
0 - 3
AUS
8%
18%
74%
|
56 | 86 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Kyrgyzstan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
KGZ
1 - 0
JOR
8%
15%
77%
|
46 | 75 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
AUS
3 - 0
KGZ
91%
7%
2%
|
46 | 86 | 40 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
KGZ
2 - 0
BGD
58%
23%
19%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
KGZ
2 - 2
TJK
19%
21%
60%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2015 |
JOR
0 - 0
KGZ
78%
16%
7%
|
45 | 74 | 29 | 0 |