Tavistock vs Larkhall Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
48.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tavistock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
TAV
0 - 1
WIN
21%
21%
58%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
IVY
0 - 1
TAV
12%
15%
74%
|
23 | 7 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
TAV
0 - 4
GUL
15%
19%
66%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
TAV
1 - 1
YAT
36%
24%
40%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
TAV
0 - 2
BRI
31%
22%
47%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Larkhall Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 2
LAR
30%
24%
46%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
HAR
0 - 2
LAR
20%
23%
57%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
DOR
1 - 2
LAR
61%
21%
18%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
CHI
2 - 0
LAR
74%
16%
10%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CRI
1 - 1
LAR
46%
23%
31%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |