Tavistock vs Horndean analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
32.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tavistock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
TAV
3 - 0
NOR
61%
20%
19%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
TAV
3 - 2
LAR
28%
24%
48%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
TAV
0 - 1
WIN
21%
21%
58%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
IVY
0 - 1
TAV
12%
15%
74%
|
22 | 7 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
TAV
0 - 4
GUL
15%
19%
66%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Horndean
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
EXM
1 - 2
HOR
40%
24%
36%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
HOR
3 - 0
BIN
54%
21%
25%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
HOR
1 - 0
BOG
13%
17%
70%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
HOR
1 - 4
HAV
21%
21%
58%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
HOR
0 - 2
CRA
10%
19%
71%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | -1 |