Tauranga vs Bay Olympic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.2%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.1%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.7%
7.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
1º
8º
7º
28
2º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
78% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tauranga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
TCU
0 - 5
AUC
35%
23%
41%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
AFC
4 - 2
TCU
21%
21%
58%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | -2 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
MEL
3 - 1
TCU
8%
13%
80%
|
49 | 17 | 32 | -3 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
MEL
1 - 2
TCU
12%
17%
71%
|
49 | 18 | 31 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
BIR
3 - 3
TCU
23%
21%
56%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Bay Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
BAO
2 - 0
WES
18%
18%
64%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
ECB
1 - 3
BAO
54%
20%
26%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
BAO
1 - 2
CMB
52%
20%
28%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
EAS
1 - 0
BAO
85%
10%
4%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
BAO
1 - 0
MUF
56%
20%
24%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |