Taubaté vs Nacional SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
41.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taubaté
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
POR
2 - 2
TAU
45%
25%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
AGU
2 - 1
TAU
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2017 |
TAU
3 - 1
POR
63%
22%
15%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
SAO
3 - 0
TAU
73%
18%
9%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
TAU
1 - 2
SAN
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
NAC
2 - 0
SAO
21%
24%
56%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 1
NAC
16%
19%
65%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 0
JUV
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
POR
0 - 0
NAC
19%
24%
57%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
POR
2 - 1
NAC
30%
25%
45%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |