Paulista A3 round 2

Taubaté vs Francana analysis

Taubaté Francana
45 ELO 40
-9% Tilt -5.1%
4580º General ELO ranking 7022º
154º Country ELO ranking 297º
ELO win probability
43.4%
Taubaté
25.4%
Draw
31.2%
Francana

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
Taubaté
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
31.2%
Win probability
Francana
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Taubaté
+2%
+12%
Francana

ELO progression

Taubaté
Francana
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Taubaté
Taubaté
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Jan. 2015
PRI
Primavera SP
1 - 2
Taubaté
TAU
40%
26%
34%
43 42 1 0
21 Sep. 2014
SAN
Santo André
2 - 1
Taubaté
TAU
66%
21%
13%
43 56 13 0
14 Sep. 2014
TAU
Taubaté
0 - 1
Grêmio Osasco
GRE
35%
27%
39%
44 49 5 -1
11 Sep. 2014
ATL
Atlético Sorocaba
2 - 0
Taubaté
TAU
70%
18%
12%
45 55 10 -1
07 Sep. 2014
TAU
Taubaté
0 - 0
São Bernardo FC
SAO
15%
24%
61%
44 64 20 +1

Matches

Francana
Francana
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Feb. 2015
FRA
Francana
1 - 1
São José
SAO
36%
27%
37%
42 47 5 0
13 Apr. 2014
SJS
CA Joseense
2 - 1
Francana
FRA
57%
22%
22%
42 47 5 0
06 Apr. 2014
FRA
Francana
2 - 3
Inter de Limeira
INT
28%
27%
46%
43 52 9 -1
03 Apr. 2014
FRA
Francana
2 - 2
Novorizontino
NOV
26%
24%
50%
42 50 8 +1
29 Mar. 2014
SAO
São Carlos
2 - 1
Francana
FRA
43%
26%
31%
43 45 2 -1