Tarbes vs SA Mérignac analysis


32	ELO	22
-2.1%	Tilt	-1.7%
20482º	General ELO ranking	20529º
448º	Country ELO ranking	495º
ELO win probability

65.2%

Tarbes

19.6%

Draw

15.2%

SA Mérignac

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

65.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%

19.6%

Draw

0-0

4.7%

1-1

9.2%

2-2

4.6%

3-3

1%

4-4

0.1%

0

19.6%

15.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

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ELO progression

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