Taranto vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
+2
6.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.8%
31.5%
Draw
0-0
15%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.5%
40.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.2%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1986 |
USC
1 - 0
TAR
70%
21%
10%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
TAR
1 - 1
PIS
31%
36%
34%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
VIC
1 - 0
TAR
65%
22%
13%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
LAZ
5 - 0
TAR
76%
16%
9%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
TAR
0 - 1
CES
32%
29%
39%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1986 |
MES
2 - 0
CAG
54%
25%
20%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
LAZ
0 - 1
MES
56%
25%
19%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
MES
0 - 0
BAR
50%
28%
22%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
MES
2 - 1
GEN
51%
24%
25%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
MES
3 - 3
ATL
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |