Taranto vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
32.7%
Draw
0-0
16.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
32.7%
29.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1975 |
TAR
1 - 0
CAT
53%
30%
17%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1975 |
REG
1 - 1
TAR
60%
25%
15%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1975 |
TAR
1 - 1
USF
42%
32%
26%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1975 |
SPA
3 - 0
TAR
55%
27%
18%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 Nov. 1975 |
TER
0 - 0
TAR
66%
23%
12%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1975 |
GEN
4 - 0
SSS
72%
19%
9%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1975 |
VIC
3 - 2
GEN
58%
26%
16%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1975 |
GEN
3 - 1
ATL
63%
24%
14%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1975 |
CAT
2 - 1
GEN
35%
34%
32%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1975 |
GEN
3 - 2
REG
63%
24%
13%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |