Taranto vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
17.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.3%
32.1%
Draw
0-0
16.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
32.1%
25.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1989 |
SSS
2 - 1
TAR
47%
30%
24%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1989 |
TAR
3 - 1
MES
37%
32%
31%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +2 |
| 14 May. 1989 |
BAR
2 - 0
TAR
60%
26%
14%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1989 |
TAR
2 - 1
BRE
40%
33%
27%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1989 |
PAD
1 - 1
TAR
64%
22%
14%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1989 |
FCC
1 - 1
AVE
37%
30%
32%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1989 |
USC
0 - 0
FCC
58%
25%
17%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1989 |
FCC
3 - 0
ANC
45%
29%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1989 |
SSB
4 - 1
FCC
51%
28%
21%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1989 |
FCC
1 - 2
REG
43%
28%
29%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |