Taranto vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
20.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
<0%
+1
28.4%
30.7%
Draw
0-0
17%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.1%
0
30.7%
17.2%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1974 |
REG
0 - 1
TAR
39%
33%
28%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1974 |
TAR
0 - 0
BRI
48%
29%
24%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1974 |
ASC
1 - 0
TAR
69%
21%
11%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1974 |
TAR
2 - 1
FCC
44%
33%
24%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1974 |
NOV
1 - 0
TAR
62%
24%
14%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1974 |
CAT
0 - 1
FCC
41%
33%
27%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1974 |
PAL
1 - 1
CAT
65%
24%
11%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1974 |
CAT
1 - 2
BRE
43%
33%
24%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1974 |
ATL
1 - 0
CAT
60%
28%
12%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1974 |
CAT
1 - 1
ASC
27%
29%
44%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |