Tapachula FC vs Jaguares FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
55.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1123%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
9º
12º
10º
16
1º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
23 | 22 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
20 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
16 | 16 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 16 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 16 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 8 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tapachula FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ZIT
1 - 1
TCS
79%
14%
7%
|
6 | 46 | 40 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
TCS
0 - 3
PDC
15%
21%
65%
|
6 | 51 | 45 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
DEV
2 - 1
TCS
85%
10%
5%
|
6 | 41 | 35 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
IPC
3 - 0
TCS
79%
14%
8%
|
7 | 57 | 50 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
TCS
2 - 2
CFT
48%
21%
31%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
JAG
1 - 1
IPC
67%
21%
12%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
CFT
0 - 1
JAG
19%
25%
57%
|
74 | 9 | 65 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
JAG
1 - 1
RVC
70%
20%
10%
|
74 | 45 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CDC
1 - 1
JAG
22%
26%
52%
|
74 | 45 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
JAG
3 - 0
CAS
72%
18%
10%
|
74 | 18 | 56 | 0 |