Tapachula FC vs CD Chilpancingo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
71%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1178%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
9º
12º
10º
9
6º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
23 | 22 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
20 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 16 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 16 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 16 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
9 | 8 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tapachula FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 1
TCS
78%
14%
8%
|
9 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2024 |
TCS
4 - 0
AFC
19%
19%
62%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
MON
4 - 1
TCS
76%
15%
9%
|
7 | 51 | 44 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
TCS
0 - 1
JAG
19%
25%
56%
|
7 | 75 | 68 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ZIT
1 - 1
TCS
79%
14%
7%
|
6 | 46 | 40 | +1 |
Matches
CD Chilpancingo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
CDC
2 - 2
IPC
27%
25%
48%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
CFT
3 - 3
CDC
12%
17%
71%
|
45 | 11 | 34 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
CDC
1 - 1
RVC
45%
25%
30%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
CDC
2 - 0
DEV
50%
24%
26%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 0
CDC
14%
18%
68%
|
45 | 19 | 26 | -1 |