CAF Qualifying Grupo J round 6

Tanzania vs Libya analysis

Tanzania Libya
60 ELO 64
-12% Tilt -15%
2273º General ELO ranking 1783º
Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
32.9%
Tanzania
26.8%
Draw
40.4%
Libya

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
Tanzania
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
40.3%
Win probability
Libya
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Tanzania
+17%
+10%
Libya

ELO progression

Tanzania
Libya
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tanzania
Tanzania
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Mar. 2021
EQG
Equatorial Guinea
1 - 0
Tanzania
TAN
38%
27%
36%
59 57 2 0
27 Jan. 2021
TAN
Tanzania
2 - 2
Guinea
GUI
21%
24%
55%
59 73 14 0
23 Jan. 2021
NAM
Namibia
0 - 1
Tanzania
TAN
50%
26%
25%
58 63 5 +1
19 Jan. 2021
ZAM
Zambia
2 - 0
Tanzania
TAN
72%
18%
10%
59 74 15 -1
12 Jan. 2021
TAN
Tanzania
1 - 1
RD Congo
COD
20%
24%
56%
58 72 14 +1

Matches

Libya
Libya
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Mar. 2021
LBY
Libya
2 - 5
Tunisia
TUN
21%
25%
54%
65 82 17 0
25 Jan. 2021
CGO
Congo
1 - 0
Libya
LBY
43%
28%
30%
66 66 0 -1
21 Jan. 2021
LBY
Libya
1 - 1
RD Congo
COD
33%
25%
42%
66 72 6 0
17 Jan. 2021
LBY
Libya
0 - 0
Niger
NIG
58%
23%
19%
66 59 7 0
15 Nov. 2020
EQG
Equatorial Guinea
1 - 0
Libya
LBY
24%
25%
51%
67 56 11 -1