Tamworth vs Welling United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
47.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tamworth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2014 |
TAM
1 - 2
SAL
32%
26%
42%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 0
TAM
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2014 |
TAM
1 - 1
HYD
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
GRI
4 - 1
TAM
72%
17%
11%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2014 |
WRE
2 - 0
TAM
60%
22%
18%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Welling United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
CHE
1 - 3
WEL
39%
27%
35%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
WEL
1 - 2
ALF
53%
24%
24%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
GAT
1 - 1
WEL
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
WEL
3 - 0
WOK
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2014 |
WEL
0 - 2
HYD
75%
16%
9%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | 0 |