Tamworth vs Gateshead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
35.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tamworth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2010 |
TAM
1 - 3
KET
35%
29%
36%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
SAL
2 - 1
TAM
45%
26%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2010 |
SAL
1 - 0
TAM
43%
28%
29%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
TAM
2 - 4
MAN
46%
27%
27%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2010 |
WRE
0 - 0
TAM
40%
29%
31%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Gateshead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2010 |
GAT
1 - 0
ALT
46%
26%
29%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
GAT
1 - 3
EBB
57%
22%
21%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2010 |
GAT
2 - 1
BAR
45%
25%
30%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
HAY
3 - 2
GAT
47%
23%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2010 |
GAT
2 - 3
BAR
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |