TPV II vs Musan Salama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8%
15%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
72.5%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
3.3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
5.8%
2-5
1.9%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
15.1%
0-4
5%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
9.4%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TPV II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
TPV
2 - 3
HAK
16%
17%
67%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2020 |
TPV
1 - 3
LOI
72%
16%
13%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2020 |
NOK
2 - 1
TPV
77%
14%
10%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2020 |
TPV
1 - 1
TKT
68%
17%
15%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2020 |
TPT
0 - 1
TPV
33%
22%
46%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Musan Salama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
MUS
0 - 2
AIF
64%
20%
16%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
INT
1 - 3
MUS
52%
22%
27%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
MUS
1 - 0
KAK
73%
16%
12%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
MUS
1 - 2
PEI
79%
13%
9%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
VGN
1 - 3
MUS
11%
14%
75%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | +1 |