MLS Quarter-finals
Global 1-4
Tampa Bay Mutiny vs Columbus Crew analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
18.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tampa Bay Mutiny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1997 |
COC
1 - 1
TAM
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1997 |
TAM
1 - 5
DCU
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1997 |
DCU
1 - 2
TAM
59%
21%
20%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1997 |
TAM
2 - 1
COC
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
TAM
1 - 2
DCU
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Columbus Crew
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1997 |
COC
1 - 1
TAM
47%
24%
29%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1997 |
RBN
0 - 1
COC
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1997 |
TAM
2 - 1
COC
60%
21%
19%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1997 |
COC
4 - 0
KCW
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1997 |
NER
1 - 0
COC
41%
25%
34%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |