Tammeka vs Paide analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
53.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
4º
7º
5º
72
2º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
72 | 72 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
70 | 70 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 15 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tammeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
LEV
3 - 1
TAM
65%
21%
14%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
TAM
1 - 1
NOM
34%
25%
41%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
TGS
0 - 24
TAM
4%
9%
87%
|
61 | 7 | 54 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
TAM
0 - 1
PAR
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
KAL
3 - 0
TAM
71%
18%
11%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Paide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
PAI
1 - 0
PAR
78%
15%
7%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
PAI
1 - 1
HÄC
31%
23%
46%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
HÄC
6 - 1
PAI
69%
17%
14%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
KUR
0 - 2
PAI
28%
26%
46%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
PAI
4 - 0
STJ
56%
22%
22%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |