Swindon Town vs Walsall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
SOU
4 - 1
SWI
68%
20%
12%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
SWI
0 - 1
CUM
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
COL
2 - 1
SWI
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2011 |
LEY
3 - 0
SWI
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
SWI
1 - 1
ROC
50%
25%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Walsall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2011 |
WAL
1 - 0
SOU
17%
22%
61%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
WAL
0 - 0
ROC
33%
26%
41%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
COL
2 - 0
WAL
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2011 |
WAL
1 - 0
DAG
45%
25%
30%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
WAL
0 - 1
BOU
32%
26%
42%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |