Swindon Town vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
32.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2008 |
SWI
2 - 1
NOR
40%
26%
34%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
SOU
2 - 1
SWI
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
SWI
1 - 3
HUR
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2008 |
HER
1 - 2
SWI
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 2008 |
HAR
3 - 3
SWI
56%
24%
21%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2008 |
BRO
2 - 0
OLD
34%
27%
39%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
OLD
1 - 1
LEI
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
OLD
4 - 0
HER
57%
23%
19%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2008 |
STO
3 - 1
OLD
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
OLD
1 - 1
HUR
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |