Swindon Town vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
38%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
SWI
1 - 0
BRA
35%
28%
37%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 1
SWI
48%
27%
26%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
ROC
4 - 0
SWI
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
SWI
1 - 3
EAS
55%
22%
23%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
SWI
3 - 0
CHA
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
LUT
6 - 2
SOL
70%
18%
11%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
EXE
0 - 0
LUT
31%
27%
42%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2016 |
LUT
1 - 3
OPA
52%
25%
24%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 2
LUT
28%
26%
46%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
LUT
1 - 0
STA
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |