Non League Premier Southern South round 10

Swindon Supermarine vs Tiverton Town analysis

Swindon Supermarine Tiverton Town
34 ELO 31
12.2% Tilt 12.9%
7285º General ELO ranking 8069º
320º Country ELO ranking 372º
ELO win probability
47.1%
Swindon Supermarine
21.1%
Draw
31.8%
Tiverton Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
Swindon Supermarine
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
31.8%
Win probability
Tiverton Town
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Swindon Supermarine
-5%
-28%
Tiverton Town

ELO progression

Swindon Supermarine
Tiverton Town
Basingstoke Town
Plymouth Parkway
Marlow FC
Havant & Waterlooville
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Swindon Supermarine
Swindon Supermarine
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Oct. 2024
WIN
Winchester City
5 - 2
Swindon Supermarine
SWI
39%
23%
38%
34 35 1 0
24 Sep. 2024
TAU
Taunton Town
3 - 1
Swindon Supermarine
SWI
47%
22%
31%
36 37 1 -2
21 Sep. 2024
WIM
Wimborne Town
0 - 0
Swindon Supermarine
SWI
39%
22%
39%
35 35 0 +1
10 Sep. 2024
SWI
Swindon Supermarine
1 - 5
Merthyr Town
MER
33%
24%
43%
37 44 7 -2
07 Sep. 2024
SWI
Swindon Supermarine
5 - 0
Poole Town
POO
38%
22%
41%
35 38 3 +2

Matches

Tiverton Town
Tiverton Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Oct. 2024
TIV
Tiverton Town
0 - 0
Dorchester Town
DOR
25%
24%
51%
33 42 9 0
28 Sep. 2024
TIV
Tiverton Town
0 - 1
Gloucester City
GLO
28%
24%
48%
34 41 7 -1
21 Sep. 2024
TIV
Tiverton Town
2 - 1
Winchester City
WIN
32%
23%
46%
32 37 5 +2
10 Sep. 2024
FRO
Frome Town
1 - 2
Tiverton Town
TIV
47%
22%
31%
31 33 2 +1
07 Sep. 2024
GOS
Gosport Borough
3 - 0
Tiverton Town
TIV
66%
19%
15%
31 42 11 0