Swindon Supermarine vs Tiverton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
31.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
9º
22º
13º
26
18º
22º
21º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
20º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 96 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 89 |
2º
|
68.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 74 |
3º
|
24.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 74 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 73 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 68 |
6º
|
19.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 60 |
7º
|
9% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 60 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 58 |
9º
|
6% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 58 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 57 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 57 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
35 | 54 |
13º
|
7.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 52 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 48 |
15º
|
11% | |
|
18º
|
29 | 47 |
16º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 46 |
17º
|
12% | |
|
21º
|
22 | 44 |
18º
|
12% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 44 |
19º
|
16% | |
|
19º
|
28 | 43 |
20º
|
22% | |
|
|
20º
|
26 | 41 |
21º
|
17% | |
|
22º
|
19 | 27 |
22º
|
90% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
93% | 46.5% |
|
Relegation
|
4.5% | 53.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Supermarine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
WIN
5 - 2
SWI
39%
23%
38%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
TAU
3 - 1
SWI
47%
22%
31%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
WIM
0 - 0
SWI
39%
22%
39%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
SWI
1 - 5
MER
33%
24%
43%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SWI
5 - 0
POO
38%
22%
41%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Tiverton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
TIV
0 - 0
DOR
25%
24%
51%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
TIV
0 - 1
GLO
28%
24%
48%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
TIV
2 - 1
WIN
32%
23%
46%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +3 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
FRO
1 - 2
TIV
47%
22%
31%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
GOS
3 - 0
TIV
66%
19%
15%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -1 |