Swindon Supermarine vs Tiverton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
31.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Supermarine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
WIN
5 - 2
SWI
39%
23%
38%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
TAU
3 - 1
SWI
47%
22%
31%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
WIM
0 - 0
SWI
39%
22%
39%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
SWI
1 - 5
MER
33%
24%
43%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SWI
5 - 0
POO
38%
22%
41%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Tiverton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
TIV
0 - 0
DOR
25%
24%
51%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
TIV
0 - 1
GLO
28%
24%
48%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
TIV
2 - 1
WIN
32%
23%
46%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
FRO
1 - 2
TIV
47%
22%
31%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
GOS
3 - 0
TIV
66%
19%
15%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |