Swindon Supermarine vs Hartley Wintney analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
16.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Supermarine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
WAL
2 - 4
SWI
26%
22%
52%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
SWI
2 - 2
MER
64%
19%
17%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
WIM
0 - 2
SWI
37%
23%
40%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
SWI
3 - 2
WES
53%
21%
26%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
BEA
0 - 0
SWI
31%
23%
46%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Hartley Wintney
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2020 |
WES
2 - 1
HAR
57%
21%
23%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
HAR
2 - 2
WIM
55%
21%
23%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
GOS
0 - 1
HAR
61%
20%
19%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
HEN
2 - 2
HAR
38%
24%
39%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
HAR
1 - 5
HAY
26%
23%
51%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |