Swansea City vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
34.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2016 |
SWA
2 - 4
SUN
44%
27%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
OXF
3 - 2
SWA
17%
23%
60%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
MUD
2 - 1
SWA
64%
22%
14%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2015 |
CRY
0 - 0
SWA
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
SWA
1 - 0
WBA
43%
27%
29%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2016 |
SOU
2 - 0
WAT
59%
21%
20%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
WAT
1 - 0
NEW
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
WAT
1 - 2
MAC
12%
20%
68%
|
80 | 93 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2015 |
WAT
1 - 2
TOT
26%
25%
49%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
CHL
2 - 2
WAT
71%
18%
11%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |