Swansea City vs Millwall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
SHW
2 - 2
SWA
36%
27%
37%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
WIG
1 - 2
SWA
21%
27%
52%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
SWA
1 - 0
CAR
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2019 |
SWA
0 - 3
BRE
58%
22%
20%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
BAR
1 - 1
SWA
23%
26%
51%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
MIL
2 - 1
CHA
35%
27%
38%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
REA
2 - 1
MIL
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
MIL
2 - 0
STO
38%
28%
34%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2019 |
MIL
2 - 2
CAR
30%
27%
43%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
BRE
3 - 2
MIL
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |