Swansea City vs Kidderminster Harriers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
22.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
YEO
1 - 0
SWA
64%
21%
15%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2004 |
SWA
1 - 0
LIN
40%
28%
32%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
CAM
0 - 1
SWA
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2004 |
QPR
3 - 0
SWA
67%
20%
13%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
SWA
1 - 1
CHE
48%
26%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Kidderminster Harriers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
KID
1 - 2
LEY
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2004 |
BCF
4 - 0
KID
49%
27%
24%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
KID
0 - 2
WYC
47%
27%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2004 |
KID
1 - 1
CAR
26%
25%
50%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
MAN
2 - 1
KID
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |