Sport Boys vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
28.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
-73%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
RCA
4 - 0
SVB
55%
22%
23%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
SVT
1 - 1
SVB
49%
24%
28%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
RIV
2 - 4
NAC
49%
24%
27%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
EST
4 - 0
RIV
52%
23%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
RIV
2 - 1
CAR
75%
16%
9%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
DAK
1 - 0
RIV
52%
23%
24%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
RCA
3 - 0
RIV
56%
22%
22%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |