Horn vs Baumgarten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
13.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2010 |
SOL
1 - 2
SVH
34%
25%
41%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2010 |
SVH
1 - 2
STR
9%
18%
73%
|
42 | 81 | 39 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
SVH
3 - 0
NEU
61%
22%
18%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
MAT
2 - 1
SVH
38%
25%
37%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2010 |
SVH
3 - 0
FAC
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Baumgarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
RIT
2 - 1
BAU
20%
23%
57%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
BAU
2 - 5
FAC
59%
21%
20%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -3 |
| 28 May. 2010 |
ZWE
1 - 3
BAU
24%
24%
52%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2010 |
GAF
0 - 3
BAU
23%
23%
54%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2010 |
BAU
2 - 0
WIE
49%
23%
29%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +2 |