Horn vs Bruck/Leitha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
8.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
SVH
1 - 3
SVH
11%
17%
72%
|
52 | 17 | 35 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2018 |
SVH
5 - 1
ZWE
85%
11%
4%
|
52 | 16 | 36 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
SVH
1 - 0
STA
83%
12%
5%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
SVH
5 - 1
AUS
60%
22%
19%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2017 |
EBR
1 - 1
SVH
27%
25%
48%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bruck/Leitha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
LEI
2 - 2
PAR
66%
17%
17%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2018 |
KRE
3 - 2
LEI
31%
21%
48%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2017 |
FCM
2 - 0
LEI
39%
25%
36%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2017 |
VIE
2 - 2
LEI
60%
21%
19%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2017 |
LEI
2 - 2
MAN
40%
25%
35%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |