Horn vs SKU Amstetten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
47.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
5º
4º
45
1º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SVL
1 - 1
SVH
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SVH
0 - 1
SKN
36%
26%
38%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
SVH
2 - 3
RIE
16%
21%
63%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
RAP
0 - 1
SVH
33%
24%
43%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SVH
2 - 1
AWM
17%
22%
61%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
SKU Amstetten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
AMS
2 - 2
GRA
37%
26%
37%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
AUS
1 - 5
AMS
25%
23%
52%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
STU
3 - 1
AMS
24%
23%
53%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
AMS
0 - 1
SVL
37%
26%
37%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
SKN
2 - 3
AMS
38%
26%
37%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |