SV Hemelingen vs Geestemünde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.4%
7.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+48%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
68
2º
8º
2º
44
2º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Hemelingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SVH
4 - 2
BLU
85%
10%
6%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
LEH
2 - 3
SVH
7%
11%
82%
|
43 | 19 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
SVH
2 - 1
TKA
96%
3%
1%
|
42 | 15 | 27 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
SVH
2 - 4
GER
58%
19%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
SVH
0 - 14
ADF
73%
15%
12%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Geestemünde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
GEE
6 - 1
WOL
65%
17%
18%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
BLU
2 - 1
GEE
35%
21%
44%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
GEE
3 - 1
LEH
81%
11%
8%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
OSC
3 - 2
GEE
62%
18%
20%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
GEE
3 - 0
VAB
51%
20%
29%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +2 |