SV Fellbach vs TSG Balingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
60.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
2º
15º
13º
47
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 88 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
47 | 76 |
2º
|
90.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 65 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 61 |
4º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 58 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 57 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 50 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 49 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 44 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 43 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 43 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 42 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
|
14º
|
21 | 39 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 35 |
14º
|
20% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 35 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 34 |
16º
|
17% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 24 |
17º
|
53.5% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 20 |
18º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 2.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 90.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
86.5% | 7% |
|
Relegation
|
13.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Fellbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
FSV
2 - 2
SVF
46%
22%
32%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
SVF
2 - 1
VFR
24%
24%
52%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | +3 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
OBE
1 - 0
SVF
68%
16%
16%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
PFO
2 - 0
SVF
69%
18%
14%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SVF
2 - 1
FCV
48%
21%
31%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
TSG Balingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
BAL
3 - 0
PFO
61%
20%
19%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
FCV
2 - 6
BAL
18%
21%
61%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
BAL
7 - 0
VFR
72%
17%
12%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
RAV
1 - 3
BAL
14%
20%
67%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
TSB
1 - 2
BAL
13%
19%
68%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |