Erzhausen vs Bernbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
27.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2000 |
VFB
2 - 1
ERZ
66%
19%
15%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2000 |
ERZ
1 - 2
FSV
25%
23%
52%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2000 |
FUL
4 - 0
ERZ
63%
21%
17%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2000 |
ERZ
3 - 1
EDE
48%
25%
27%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2000 |
VIK
1 - 4
ERZ
78%
14%
8%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
Bernbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2000 |
SVB
1 - 1
FRA
19%
22%
58%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2000 |
LOH
3 - 1
SVB
53%
22%
25%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2000 |
SVB
6 - 3
SGW
72%
17%
11%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2000 |
SGH
4 - 1
SVB
55%
23%
22%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2000 |
SVB
0 - 4
FVB
31%
26%
43%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -2 |