Oberliga Bayern Nord round 9

SV Donaustauf vs Fortuna Regensburg analysis

SV Donaustauf Fortuna Regensburg
28 ELO 20
1.6% Tilt 5.7%
11276º General ELO ranking 7191º
565º Country ELO ranking 267º
ELO win probability
70.4%
SV Donaustauf
16.4%
Draw
13.2%
Fortuna Regensburg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
SV Donaustauf
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
13.2%
Win probability
Fortuna Regensburg
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
SV Donaustauf
-24%
+49%
Fortuna Regensburg

Points and table prediction

SV Donaustauf
Their league position
Fortuna Regensburg
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
14º
18º
18º
48
14º
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Hankofen-Hailing
71
71
100%
VfB Eichstätt
68
68
100%
Eltersdorf
67
67
100%
TSV Abtswind
59
59
100%
Ingolstadt 04 II
55
58
90.5%
Bayern Hof
58
58
90.5%
ASV Cham
55
55
100%
Ammerthal
54
54
0%
Neudrossenfeld
54
54
0%
DJK Gebenbach
10º
52
52
10º
0%
Jahn Regensburg II
11º
52
52
11º
100%
ASV Neumarkt
12º
52
52
12º
100%
ATSV Erlangen
13º
52
52
13º
0%
TSV Kornburg
14º
49
49
14º
100%
Fortuna Regensburg
15º
48
48
15º
100%
FC Coburg
16º
41
41
16º
100%
Würzburger FV
17º
27
27
17º
100%
SV Donaustauf
18º
22
22
18º
100%
Feucht SC
19º
16
16
19º
100%
Expected probabilities
SV Donaustauf
Fortuna Regensburg
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 100%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

SV Donaustauf
Fortuna Regensburg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SV Donaustauf
SV Donaustauf
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Aug. 2023
FEU
Feucht SC
0 - 2
SV Donaustauf
SVD
22%
21%
57%
27 19 8 0
18 Aug. 2023
ELT
Eltersdorf
2 - 0
SV Donaustauf
SVD
71%
17%
12%
27 39 12 0
12 Aug. 2023
SVD
SV Donaustauf
0 - 3
Neudrossenfeld
NEU
53%
21%
26%
28 26 2 -1
04 Aug. 2023
WUR
Würzburger FV
2 - 0
SV Donaustauf
SVD
33%
22%
45%
30 25 5 -2
29 Jul. 2023
SVD
SV Donaustauf
1 - 5
Hankofen-Hailing
HAH
46%
22%
32%
31 31 0 -1

Matches

Fortuna Regensburg
Fortuna Regensburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Aug. 2023
REG
Fortuna Regensburg
1 - 1
ASV Neumarkt
NEU
22%
20%
59%
19 30 11 0
22 Aug. 2023
ATS
ATSV Erlangen
3 - 1
Fortuna Regensburg
REG
57%
20%
23%
19 23 4 0
18 Aug. 2023
REG
Fortuna Regensburg
2 - 4
FC Coburg
FCC
56%
20%
24%
20 21 1 -1
15 Aug. 2023
TSV
TSV Abtswind
2 - 0
Fortuna Regensburg
REG
78%
14%
8%
20 35 15 0
05 Aug. 2023
REG
Fortuna Regensburg
1 - 2
Bayern Hof
BAY
46%
22%
32%
21 24 3 -1