Biemenhorst vs SF Baumberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
44.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
4º
13º
11º
8
8º
17º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
26 | 78 |
1º
|
68% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 68 |
2º
|
33.5% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 65 |
3º
|
21% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 65 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 63 |
5º
|
17% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 60 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 51 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
8 | 51 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 51 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 49 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
|
10º
|
15 | 46 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 43 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 37 |
13º
|
17.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 34 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 29 |
15º
|
22.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 28 |
16º
|
18% | |
|
17º
|
7 | 26 |
17º
|
31% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 19 |
18º
|
55.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 99% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Biemenhorst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
NET
1 - 2
SVB
45%
21%
33%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
SVB
0 - 0
SFN
68%
16%
16%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
GRA
1 - 0
SVB
55%
22%
23%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
FCB
2 - 2
SVB
54%
22%
25%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SVB
2 - 0
MFC
52%
20%
28%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
SF Baumberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
VFB
2 - 1
SFB
49%
23%
28%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
SCH
8 - 1
SFB
61%
20%
19%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
SFB
0 - 1
SWE
48%
23%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
1FC
0 - 2
SFB
29%
23%
48%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SFB
3 - 1
KLE
69%
18%
13%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |