Bernbach vs Wörsdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
31.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bernbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
SVB
0 - 4
VEL
43%
26%
31%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2004 |
FVB
1 - 1
SVB
55%
23%
22%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
SVB
1 - 2
ESC
16%
23%
62%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
SWM
0 - 0
SVB
22%
23%
55%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
SVB
1 - 1
GOR
39%
24%
37%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Wörsdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
WOR
0 - 1
FVB
55%
25%
20%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2004 |
ESC
1 - 0
WOR
81%
14%
6%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
WOR
0 - 0
SWM
75%
17%
9%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
GOR
2 - 1
WOR
53%
23%
23%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
WOR
3 - 2
MAR
40%
27%
33%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |