Bernbach vs Eschborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
45.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bernbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2003 |
HES
5 - 1
SVB
67%
20%
13%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
SVB
1 - 1
SCN
62%
20%
19%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2003 |
SVB
2 - 0
BAU
45%
24%
31%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
VIK
0 - 1
SVB
55%
23%
22%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
SVB
3 - 2
KKA
35%
25%
40%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Eschborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2003 |
ESC
2 - 0
MAR
75%
15%
10%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2003 |
FVB
1 - 3
ESC
24%
24%
52%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2003 |
ESC
3 - 1
FUL
63%
20%
17%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2003 |
ESC
5 - 2
ERZ
68%
19%
14%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
WOR
0 - 0
ESC
26%
24%
50%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | -1 |