Adler Weidenhausen vs Hornau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
14.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
9º
18º
10º
2
16º
18º
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
19º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 80 |
1º
|
50% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 74 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 68 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 66 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 64 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 62 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 59 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 57 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 48 |
9º
|
5.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
4 | 46 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 46 |
11º
|
8% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 46 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 44 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 43 |
14º
|
7% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 39 |
15º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 33 |
16º
|
14.5% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 32 |
17º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 30 |
18º
|
21% | |
|
|
19º
|
2 | 25 |
19º
|
42% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
59.5% | 50.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
9.5% | 5.5% |
|
Relegation
|
31% | 44% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adler Weidenhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
SVA
2 - 1
BAU
29%
22%
49%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
EIN
3 - 1
SVA
36%
21%
43%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SVA
0 - 3
FER
37%
22%
41%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
RWW
5 - 3
SVA
53%
20%
27%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
WAL
4 - 1
SVA
28%
20%
52%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Hornau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
HOR
3 - 3
EDD
16%
18%
65%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
HOR
3 - 7
HSC
16%
18%
66%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
HOR
1 - 1
SUF
20%
18%
62%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
EIN
3 - 2
HOR
71%
15%
13%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
EDD
2 - 2
HOR
72%
16%
12%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |