FC Grimma vs Magdeburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
63.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
4º
16º
9º
33
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
33 | 63 |
1º
|
52.5% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 57 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
1º
|
35 | 56 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 56 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 56 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 55 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 48 |
7º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 38 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
|
11º
|
18 | 36 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 35 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 34 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 33 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 31 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 31 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 30 |
15º
|
26.5% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 15 |
16º
|
92% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 52.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
85.5% | 47.5% |
|
Relegation
|
14.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Grimma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
BUD
1 - 2
SVG
45%
22%
33%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
SVG
1 - 4
VFL
39%
23%
38%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
EIN
3 - 1
SVG
38%
24%
39%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SVG
2 - 1
GER
30%
25%
45%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
LFC
1 - 0
SVG
19%
21%
61%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Magdeburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
MAG
3 - 0
UNI
75%
16%
9%
|
64 | 34 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
RSV
2 - 0
MAG
17%
20%
63%
|
65 | 35 | 30 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
MAG
2 - 2
AUE
68%
19%
13%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
MAG
1 - 1
VIK
57%
20%
23%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
MAG
2 - 1
VFB
70%
17%
13%
|
65 | 35 | 30 | 0 |