PSL round 4

SuperSport United vs Free State Stars analysis

SuperSport United Free State Stars
71 ELO 64
-1% Tilt -1.5%
1187º General ELO ranking 22296º
Country ELO ranking 46º
ELO win probability
60%
SuperSport United
23.3%
Draw
16.6%
Free State Stars

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
SuperSport United
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
16.6%
Win probability
Free State Stars
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

SuperSport United
Free State Stars
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SuperSport United
SuperSport United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Sep. 2016
MAR
Durban City
0 - 1
SuperSport United
SSU
38%
28%
35%
70 66 4 0
14 Sep. 2016
SSU
SuperSport United
0 - 0
Chippa United
CHI
50%
25%
25%
70 68 2 0
28 Aug. 2016
SUN
Mamelodi Sundowns
3 - 1
SuperSport United
SSU
50%
24%
26%
71 74 3 -1
24 Aug. 2016
PLS
Platinum Stars
1 - 0
SuperSport United
SSU
39%
27%
34%
72 68 4 -1
28 May. 2016
SSU
SuperSport United
3 - 2
Orlando Pirates
PIR
42%
25%
33%
72 74 2 0

Matches

Free State Stars
Free State Stars
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Sep. 2016
FRE
Free State Stars
0 - 1
Golden Arrows
GOL
45%
27%
28%
64 63 1 0
14 Sep. 2016
FRE
Free State Stars
0 - 0
Bloemfontein Celtic
BLO
40%
29%
32%
63 68 5 +1
23 Aug. 2016
CHI
Chippa United
2 - 1
Free State Stars
FRE
52%
26%
23%
64 66 2 -1
21 May. 2016
MPU
Cape Town City FC
1 - 0
Free State Stars
FRE
53%
26%
22%
65 69 4 -1
14 May. 2016
FRE
Free State Stars
2 - 4
Orlando Pirates
PIR
34%
26%
40%
66 72 6 -1