SK Super Nova vs Ogre United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
8.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+84%
+677%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
1º
4º
1º
29
7º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SK Super Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 2
SUP
18%
23%
59%
|
60 | 36 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SMI
0 - 4
SUP
13%
20%
67%
|
59 | 28 | 31 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
PRA
1 - 4
SUP
21%
23%
56%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SUP
4 - 1
VAL
57%
22%
21%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
KFV
1 - 0
SUP
17%
22%
61%
|
58 | 33 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Ogre United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
OUD
5 - 2
RFA
46%
20%
33%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
OUD
3 - 0
MAR
22%
19%
59%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | +5 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SMI
0 - 2
OUD
72%
15%
14%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
OUD
1 - 1
PRA
15%
17%
68%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
VAL
3 - 0
OUD
78%
14%
8%
|
22 | 52 | 30 | 0 |