Sunderland vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
17.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1997 |
SUN
3 - 1
HUR
63%
23%
14%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1997 |
MID
2 - 0
SUN
69%
18%
13%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1997 |
REA
4 - 0
SUN
35%
28%
37%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1997 |
SUN
1 - 2
MID
39%
28%
33%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1997 |
BCF
1 - 2
SUN
34%
28%
38%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1997 |
WOL
3 - 1
SWI
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1997 |
SWI
3 - 1
BCF
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1997 |
SWI
4 - 2
POR
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1997 |
MAC
6 - 0
SWI
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1997 |
WBA
0 - 0
SWI
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |