Sunderland vs Millwall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
23%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2003 |
MAN
1 - 2
SUN
24%
24%
52%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
NTT
2 - 0
SUN
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
SUN
0 - 4
ARS
12%
22%
67%
|
74 | 93 | 19 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
ASV
1 - 0
SUN
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
SUN
0 - 1
NEW
19%
25%
57%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2003 |
MIL
0 - 1
OXF
65%
20%
15%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
MIL
2 - 0
WIG
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
MIL
2 - 0
COV
59%
23%
19%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
NTT
3 - 3
MIL
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2003 |
MIL
3 - 2
CRY
43%
25%
31%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |