Sunderland vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
10.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1906 |
SUN
1 - 0
BBU
74%
15%
11%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1906 |
STO
2 - 2
SUN
47%
23%
30%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1906 |
SUN
4 - 1
MUD
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1906 |
BOL
1 - 0
SUN
61%
20%
19%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1906 |
SUN
1 - 2
SHE
64%
18%
18%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1906 |
DER
0 - 0
NEW
36%
26%
39%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1906 |
BBU
5 - 1
DER
64%
19%
17%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1906 |
DER
3 - 0
PNE
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1906 |
STO
2 - 1
DER
63%
20%
17%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1906 |
DER
1 - 0
MID
68%
18%
15%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |