Sunderland vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
16.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
CAR
0 - 2
SUN
31%
27%
42%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
SUN
0 - 2
WHU
43%
28%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
STO
0 - 1
SUN
30%
28%
42%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
SUN
2 - 0
IPS
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
LEI
0 - 1
SUN
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
BUR
2 - 0
PNE
51%
23%
26%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
PLY
1 - 0
BUR
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
BUR
1 - 0
MIL
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
BHA
0 - 1
BUR
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
BUR
1 - 0
NTT
57%
23%
21%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |