Sunderland vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
30.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2015 |
SUN
0 - 1
LIV
24%
26%
51%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
MAC
4 - 1
SUN
86%
10%
4%
|
79 | 93 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
CHL
3 - 1
SUN
74%
17%
9%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
SUN
0 - 1
WAT
43%
26%
32%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
ARS
3 - 1
SUN
73%
18%
10%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2015 |
NOR
2 - 0
ASV
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
ASV
1 - 1
WHU
38%
27%
34%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
NEW
1 - 1
ASV
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ASV
0 - 2
ARS
16%
22%
63%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 1
ASV
66%
20%
15%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |