Sunderland vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
9.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1919 |
SUN
3 - 2
CHL
71%
17%
12%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1919 |
ASV
0 - 3
SUN
54%
21%
26%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1919 |
CHL
2 - 0
SUN
35%
24%
41%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1919 |
SUN
2 - 1
ASV
59%
20%
20%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1915 |
SUN
5 - 0
TOT
70%
17%
14%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1919 |
ARS
1 - 0
LIV
35%
25%
40%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1919 |
NEW
3 - 1
ARS
71%
18%
12%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1919 |
LIV
2 - 3
ARS
81%
12%
7%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1919 |
ARS
0 - 1
NEW
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1915 |
ARS
7 - 0
NTT
70%
18%
12%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | +1 |